Gornik Leczna 3-0 Kotwica Kolobrzeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
62%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 25% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Gornik Leczna win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
60%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.05/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.20
+5% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
21.09.2024 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
3-0
AWAY Kotwica Kolobrzeg
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna ran out comfortable winners over Kotwica Kolobrzeg 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gornik Leczna as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 54% of the ball to Kotwica Kolobrzeg's 46%, shots finished 19-10.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

Gornik Leczna 3-0 Kotwica Kolobrzeg in the Poland - 1st Division on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 62%, draw 23%, Kotwica Kolobrzeg 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Leczna), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✓ BTTS No
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