Iğdır FK 3-0 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
4.17
6+ Goals
7%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 34% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.24
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
18%
5.01
X/2
11%
6.54
X/X
15%
4.32
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.89
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.15/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.15
-23% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
15.6 Crosses 20.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iğdır FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.58 xG 2.19
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
467 Passes 242
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 4-0 HT 2-0 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iğdır FK
3-0
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.89 xG 0.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
268 Passes 344
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iğdır FK vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK swept aside İstanbulspor 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Iğdır FK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Iğdır FK had 45% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 55%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.89 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs İstanbulspor?

Iğdır FK 3-0 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 42%, draw 29%, İstanbulspor 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iğdır FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iğdır FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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