Keçiörengücü 4-1 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.22
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
20%
4.37
X/2
8%
9.46
X/X
11%
5.63
2/1
7%
21.8
2/2
12%
7.18
2/X
5%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -21%
1.59/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.58
+9% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.8 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.25 xG 0.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
313 Passes 360
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
10.02.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
16.09.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-0 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
4-1
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.69 xG 0.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
397 Passes 441
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü cruised past Şanlıurfaspor 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Keçiörengücü as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 48% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 52%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.69 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Keçiörengücü and 0.00 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Keçiörengücü 4-1 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 48%, draw 25%, Şanlıurfaspor 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keçiörengücü), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✓ BTTS Yes
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