Manisa FK 2-2 Amed SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.67
1/2
10%
28.0
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
9%
6.31
X/2
16%
5.02
X/X
14%
4.47
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.3
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Amed SK EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.16/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/0.52
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
15.3 Crosses 15.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amed SK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.92 xG 1.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
268 Passes 331
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Amed SK Amed SK 3-2 HT 2-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
2-2
AWAY Amed SK
1.54 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
338 Passes 359
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Amed SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK and Amed SK shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Amed SK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manisa FK had 49% of the ball to Amed SK's 51%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.54 to 1.19.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Amed SK?

Manisa FK 2-2 Amed SK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Amed SK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 29%, draw 28%, Amed SK 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amed SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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