Şanlıurfaspor 0-1 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 33% vs market 29.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.47
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.16
X/2
14%
5.86
X/X
13%
4.05
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
10%
4.25
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.56/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
+1% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
33.1 Crosses 16.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.44 xG 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 12
384 Passes 343
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-0 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
0-1
AWAY Keçiörengücü
0.50 xG 1.35
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
272 Passes 192
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü nicked a narrow win over Şanlıurfaspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Keçiörengücü made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 57% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 43%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 0.50 to 1.35.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Şanlıurfaspor 0-1 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şanlıurfaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 39%, draw 29%, Keçiörengücü 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Şanlıurfaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Şanlıurfaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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