Bodrum FK 0-0 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.31
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
14%
3.97
X/2
9%
8.73
X/X
16%
4.69
2/1
11%
24.6
2/2
8%
6.92
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
1.33/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.53
-1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
17.4 Crosses 14.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.36 xG 1.02
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
188 Passes 407
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.09.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
20.03.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
08.10.2022 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 5-0 HT 3-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
30.01.2022 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
26.09.2021 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK S2-K
14.03.2021 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
0-0
AWAY Sakaryaspor
0.90 xG 0.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
235 Passes 230
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK and Sakaryaspor played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bodrum FK at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 50% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 50%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.90 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bodrum FK and 0.67 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Bodrum FK 0-0 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 47%, draw 29%, Sakaryaspor 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bodrum FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✓ Under 2.5
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