Altay 0-0 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

Altay
0-0 HT 0-0
Erzurumspor FK
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Altay vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 32% vs market 28.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.86
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
5%
17.0
X/1
12%
10.4
X/2
17%
3.64
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.06
2/X
10%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+8.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Altay v Erzurumspor FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altay EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.03/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.17
+34% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
14.0 Crosses 16.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Altay vs Erzurumspor FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altay
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
271 Passes 249
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 4-0 HT 3-0 Altay Altay T1L
30.03.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-4 HT 1-1 Altay Altay T1L
22.10.2022 Altay Altay 1-1 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
12.07.2020 Altay Altay 0-1 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
22.12.2019 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-3 HT 1-2 Altay Altay T1L
20.09.2017 Altay Altay 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK TÜK

Altay 0-0 Erzurumspor FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altay
0-0
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.08 xG 0.92
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 11
155 Passes 298
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
8 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Altay vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altay and Erzurumspor FK played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Erzurumspor FK at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Altay had 38% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 62%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.08 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Altay and 1.50 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Altay vs Erzurumspor FK?

Altay 0-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altay vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Altay 26%, draw 25%, Erzurumspor FK 49%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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