AE Larissa 1-2 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 8 Apr 2026

📅08/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.27
2-3 Goals
35%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 41% vs market 35.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.81
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
14%
5.19
X/2
6%
5.58
X/X
16%
3.79
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
21%
4.26
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
0.89/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.07
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
18.8 Crosses 11.6
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Panaitolikos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.17 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
304 Passes 254
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2026 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-4 HT 1-3 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
08.11.2025 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
01.08.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos HAZ
03.04.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
28.02.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
07.12.2020 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-1 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
1-2
AWAY Panaitolikos
0.97 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
329 Passes 307
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AE Larissa vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos edged past AE Larissa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Panaitolikos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AE Larissa had 52% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 48%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.97 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AE Larissa and 1.83 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of AE Larissa vs Panaitolikos?

AE Larissa 1-2 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 08/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AE Larissa vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AE Larissa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 38%, draw 30%, Panaitolikos 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AE Larissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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8 Apr 2026
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