Fleury 91 (K) 2-3 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-14.5pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.4pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleury 91 (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.49
-39% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleury 91 (K)
2-3
AWAY Montpellier (K)
3.77 xG 2.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
264 Passes 211
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
45 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fleury 91 (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier (K) edged past Fleury 91 (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Montpellier (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fleury 91 (K) had 55% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 45%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 3.77 to 2.38 — on chances, Fleury 91 (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Fleury 91 (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Fleury 91 (K) 2-3 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleury 91 (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleury 91 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fleury 91 (K) 40%, draw 29%, Montpellier (K) 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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