Saint-Étienne (K) 1-1 Lille (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.7pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-41% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
1-1
AWAY Lille (K)
1.55 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
301 Passes 268
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lille (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) and Lille (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Saint-Étienne (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 52% of the ball to Lille (K)'s 48%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.55 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lille (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 1-1 Lille (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lille (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Étienne (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 48%, draw 21%, Lille (K) 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Étienne (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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