Fatih Karagümrük 0-4 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 8 May 2024

Fatih Karagümrük
0-4 HT 0-0
Trabzonspor
📅08/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

Fatih Karagümrük vs Trabzonspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
13%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.11
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
16%
6.15
X/2
11%
5.06
X/X
14%
5.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
29.0
2/2
16%
3.14
2/X
5%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+9.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fatih Karagümrük v Trabzonspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -35%
3.34/2.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.94
+140% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -53%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Fatih Karagümrük vs Trabzonspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.92 xG 2.10
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
298 Passes 497
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-2 HT 2-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TÜK
09.03.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 5-1 HT 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
29.10.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
22.05.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4-1 HT 3-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
28.12.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 4-1 HT 2-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
15.04.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL

Fatih Karagümrük 0-4 Trabzonspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
0-4
AWAY Trabzonspor
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor swept aside Fatih Karagümrük 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fatih Karagümrük at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 43% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 57%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 2.33 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Trabzonspor?

Fatih Karagümrük 0-4 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 43%, draw 24%, Trabzonspor 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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