Al Ahly 4-2 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.73/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.56
+17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
17.5 Crosses 11.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Masry
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.15 xG 0.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
373 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Al Masry Al Masry 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
26.07.2024 Al Masry Al Masry 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
19.09.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
03.08.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSRK
26.07.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
12.01.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
4-2
AWAY Al Masry
2.26 xG 0.64
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
325 Passes 210
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly got the better of Al Masry 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahly had 59% of the ball to Al Masry's 41%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.26 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahly and 0.17 for Al Masry.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Al Masry?

Al Ahly 4-2 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 52%, draw 26%, Al Masry 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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