Bistrica 2-1 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.3pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
2.22/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.25
+56% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Krka
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Krka Krka 0-2 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
09.03.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 3-0 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
20.08.2023 Krka Krka 1-2 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
12.03.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 0-1 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
26.08.2022 Krka Krka 1-0 HT 0-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
2-1
AWAY Krka
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica squeezed past Krka 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Bistrica found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bistrica had 46% of the ball to Krka's 54%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bistrica had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Bistrica and 0.60 for Krka.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Krka?

Bistrica 2-1 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 40%, draw 32%, Krka 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bistrica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bistrica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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