TPS Turku vs HJK Helsinki Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
TPS Turku v HJK Helsinki — Team-Based Signals
TPS Turku vs HJK Helsinki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
TPS Turku
FİN
0-2
HT 0-1
HJK Helsinki
FİN
0-1
HT 0-0
HJK Helsinki
FİK
3-0
HT 2-0
TPS Turku
FİK
0-4
HT 0-2
HJK Helsinki
FİN
TPS Turku 1-0 HJK Helsinki — Actual Match Statistics
TPS Turku edged past HJK Helsinki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, TPS Turku had 27% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 73%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 0.43 to 2.19 — on chances, HJK Helsinki could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for TPS Turku and 2.50 for HJK Helsinki.
What was the final score of TPS Turku vs HJK Helsinki?
TPS Turku 1-0 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs HJK Helsinki?
Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 24%, draw 28%, HJK Helsinki 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.