Ilves Tampere 1-0 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.28
1/2
6%
23.95
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
9%
6.52
X/2
19%
5.34
X/X
12%
4.99
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
20%
3.12
2/X
6%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.09/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.18
+13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
15.7 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Oulu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.96 xG 0.79
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
550 Passes 260
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2026 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-2 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
16.08.2025 Oulu Oulu 0-4 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
24.05.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
01.02.2025 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 0-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
04.08.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
04.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
1-0
AWAY Oulu
1.12 xG 0.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
374 Passes 434
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 21
3 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere nicked a narrow win over Oulu 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Oulu at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 46% of the ball to Oulu's 54%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 1.12 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ilves Tampere and 0.83 for Oulu.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Oulu?

Ilves Tampere 1-0 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 30%, draw 25%, Oulu 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ BTTS Yes
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