08/06/2024
·
12:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Lucksta vs Kiruna FF Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
40%
20%
Draw
23%
29%
Away Win
36%
37%
Under 2.5
36%
63%
Over 2.5
64%
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
43%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lucksta v Kiruna FF — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lucksta
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kiruna FF
EU Bookmakers 40%
+45% /
+45%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-3%
3.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.82/2.85
+68%
/
+51%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+16%
/
-41%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
338 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
367 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Lucksta vs Kiruna FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lucksta nicked a narrow win over Kiruna FF 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lucksta as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Lucksta vs Kiruna FF?
Lucksta 1-0 Kiruna FF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lucksta vs Kiruna FF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lucksta win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lucksta 51%, draw 20%, Kiruna FF 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lucksta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lucksta)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
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