Stenungsund 4-1 Herrestads — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.5pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Herrestads EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.35/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.30
-25% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Herrestads
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 2-1 HT 2-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
09.06.2023 Stenungsund Stenungsund 0-2 HT 0-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
24.09.2022 Herrestads Herrestads 2-2 HT 1-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs Herrestads
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenungsund ran out comfortable winners over Herrestads 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 42% — and on the day Stenungsund made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Herrestads led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stenungsund and 2.00 for Herrestads.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs Herrestads?

Stenungsund 4-1 Herrestads in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs Herrestads?

Before kick-off our model rated an Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 37%, draw 21%, Herrestads 42%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Herrestads) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Herrestads) ✓ Over 2.5
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