Simrishamn 2-5 IFK Trelleborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.5pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simrishamn EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.65/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.71
-14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Simrishamn
0W-1D-1L
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
02.09.2023 Simrishamn Simrishamn 2-2 HT 0-1 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
07.05.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Simrishamn Simrishamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Simrishamn vs IFK Trelleborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Trelleborg ran out comfortable winners over Simrishamn 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Simrishamn at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, IFK Trelleborg led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Simrishamn and 2.50 for IFK Trelleborg.

What was the final score of Simrishamn vs IFK Trelleborg?

Simrishamn 2-5 IFK Trelleborg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simrishamn vs IFK Trelleborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Simrishamn win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Simrishamn 41%, draw 24%, IFK Trelleborg 34%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Simrishamn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Simrishamn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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