Green Gully 2-0 Heidelberg United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
38%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
38%
Away Win
49%
-10.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 53%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
0.53/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.80
-61% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +65%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
37.0 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Heidelberg United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 0.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
200 Passes 210
64% Pass Accuracy 61%
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 3-0 HT 2-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
13.08.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 1-2 HT 1-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
05.05.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-0 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
31.07.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-2 HT 0-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
29.04.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 4-0 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
20.06.2021 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-0 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Heidelberg United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Green Gully saw off Heidelberg United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Green Gully made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidelberg United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Green Gully and 1.33 for Heidelberg United.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Heidelberg United?

Green Gully 2-0 Heidelberg United in the Australia - National Premier League on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Heidelberg United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 33%, draw 29%, Heidelberg United 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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