Moreton City Excelsior 5-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.61
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 28%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.22
-4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +57%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
09.03.2024 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-5 HT 2-3 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior swept aside Sunshine Coast Wanderers 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Moreton City Excelsior 5-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Australia - National Premier League on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 47%, draw 25%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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