Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-5 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.0pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.11/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+47% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior saw off Sunshine Coast Wanderers 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-5 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Coast Wanderers 27%, draw 25%, Moreton City Excelsior 47%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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