EIF 1-0 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 8 Jun 2024

EIF
1-0 HT 0-0
Gnistan
📅08/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gnistan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 EIF EIF 2-5 HT 0-5 Gnistan Gnistan FLK
20.01.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 1-0 EIF EIF HAZ
07.10.2023 EIF EIF 3-3 HT 2-1 Gnistan Gnistan FINY
15.07.2023 EIF EIF 1-0 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
07.05.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 0-0 HT 0-0 EIF EIF FİN2
06.07.2022 EIF EIF 0-2 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
1-0
AWAY Gnistan
1.12 xG 0.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
258 Passes 328
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH EIF vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EIF edged past Gnistan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gnistan at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, EIF had 46% of the ball to Gnistan's 54%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.12 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gnistan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for EIF and 1.83 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of EIF vs Gnistan?

EIF 1-0 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split EIF 29%, draw 26%, Gnistan 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gnistan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gnistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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