KuPS Kuopio 4-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.41
6+ Goals
16%
12.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.41 — our 25% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
15.8
X/1
22%
3.8
X/2
7%
10.1
X/X
8%
5.39
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
11%
7.98
2/X
5%
16.5
Value flag · 1/X at 15.8 — our 11% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -18%
1.25/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.83
-20% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
19.5 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Oulu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.39 xG 0.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
420 Passes 358
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
07.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
09.05.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-2 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
04.02.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
22.06.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
17.05.2022 Oulu Oulu 0-3 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
4-1
AWAY Oulu
3.62 xG 0.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
499 Passes 378
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio ran out comfortable winners over Oulu 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 55% of the ball to Oulu's 45%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 3.62 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.50 for Oulu.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu?

KuPS Kuopio 4-1 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 51%, draw 24%, Oulu 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
8 Jun 2024
17:00 EIF vs Gnistan Analysis →