Avai 1-0 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 8 Jun 2025

Avai
1-0 HT 0-0
CRB
📅08/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 32% vs market 30.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.31/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.41
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
21.5 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CRB
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.95 xG 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
303 Passes 336
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 CRB CRB 1-2 HT 0-2 Avai Avai BR2
15.05.2024 Avai Avai 2-1 HT 2-0 CRB CRB BR2
11.11.2023 Avai Avai 1-1 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
24.08.2023 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
26.09.2021 CRB CRB 1-2 HT 1-2 Avai Avai BR2
25.06.2021 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
1-0
AWAY CRB
1.53 xG 0.59
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
293 Passes 348
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avai vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai edged past CRB 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avai as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avai had 47% of the ball to CRB's 53%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.53 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Avai and 0.83 for CRB.

What was the final score of Avai vs CRB?

Avai 1-0 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Avai 44%, draw 30%, CRB 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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