Aruba 0-5 Haiti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 8 Jun 2025

Aruba
0-5 HT 0-2
Haiti
📅08/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
12.23
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
62%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.68
Over 2.5
64%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.74
2-3 Goals
35%
2.42
4-5 Goals
33%
2.28
6+ Goals
11%
3.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
42%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
5%
+13.6pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.8pp
62%
Away Win
85%
-23.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aruba EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Haiti EU Bookmakers 91%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
221 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 544 · 87%
10.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.5 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aruba
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Haiti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.34 xG 2.29
31% Ball Possession 69%
2 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
133 Passes 372
69% Pass Accuracy 88%
2 Box Touches 32
6 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 Aruba Aruba 1-3 HT 1-2 Haiti Haiti CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aruba
0-5
AWAY Haiti
1.24 xG 2.58
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 2
170 Passes 519
76% Pass Accuracy 91%
5 Box Touches 38
7 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aruba vs Haiti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haiti cruised past Aruba 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Haiti as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aruba had 28% of the ball to Haiti's 72%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 1.24 to 2.58.

What was the final score of Aruba vs Haiti?

Aruba 0-5 Haiti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aruba vs Haiti?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haiti win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Aruba 19%, draw 19%, Haiti 62%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haiti), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haiti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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