Aruba 1-3 Haiti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 12 Oct 2024

Aruba
1-3 HT 1-2
Haiti
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
12.23
Draw
11%
8.78
Away
63%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
4.0
Over 2.5
74%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.67
No
47%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
11.35
2-3 Goals
34%
2.69
4-5 Goals
25%
2.3
6+ Goals
26%
3.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
47%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
5%
+21.2pp
11%
Draw
8%
+3.4pp
63%
Away Win
88%
-24.6pp
26%
Under 2.5
22%
+5.0pp
74%
Over 2.5
78%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
33%
+20.0pp
47%
BTTS No
67%
-20.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aruba EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Haiti EU Bookmakers 94%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.00
-100% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% /
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
243 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 85%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aruba
1-3
AWAY Haiti
0.34 xG 2.29
31% Ball Possession 69%
2 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
133 Passes 372
69% Pass Accuracy 88%
2 Box Touches 32
6 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aruba vs Haiti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haiti got the better of Aruba 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Haiti as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%) came in.

On the day, Aruba had 31% of the ball to Haiti's 69%, shots finished 2-17, expected goals 0.34 to 2.29.

What was the final score of Aruba vs Haiti?

Aruba 1-3 Haiti in the CONCACAF Champions League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aruba vs Haiti?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haiti win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Aruba 26%, draw 11%, Haiti 63%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haiti), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haiti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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