Guyana 1-3 Guatemala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
42%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.51
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
16%
+14.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
43%
Away Win
62%
-19.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guyana EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Guatemala EU Bookmakers 66%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -74% / -74%
1.32/3.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+47% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -58%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guyana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Guatemala
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
04.07.2021 Guatemala Guatemala 4-0 HT 1-0 Guyana Guyana GKELEME
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guyana
1-3
AWAY Guatemala
2.17 xG 2.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
290 Passes 333
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guyana vs Guatemala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guatemala beat Guyana 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guatemala as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Guyana had 47% of the ball to Guatemala's 53%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 2.17 to 2.16.

What was the final score of Guyana vs Guatemala?

Guyana 1-3 Guatemala in the CONCACAF Champions League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guyana vs Guatemala?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guatemala win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guyana 31%, draw 27%, Guatemala 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guatemala), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guatemala) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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