Sint Maarten vs St. Lucia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sint Maarten v St. Lucia — Team-Based Signals
Sint Maarten vs St. Lucia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Sint Maarten
CON
1-5
HT 0-1
St. Lucia
CON
Sint Maarten 1-2 St. Lucia — Actual Match Statistics
St. Lucia nicked a narrow win over Sint Maarten 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had St. Lucia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sint Maarten had 43% of the ball to St. Lucia's 57%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 1.37 to 0.89 — on chances, Sint Maarten could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sint Maarten and 3.00 for St. Lucia.
What was the final score of Sint Maarten vs St. Lucia?
Sint Maarten 1-2 St. Lucia in the CONCACAF Champions League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sint Maarten vs St. Lucia?
Before kick-off our model rated an St. Lucia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sint Maarten 33%, draw 26%, St. Lucia 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Lucia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.