Antigua Ve Barbuda 0-5 Dominik Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
9.57
Draw
26%
5.71
Away
58%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.84
2-3 Goals
35%
2.05
4-5 Goals
31%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
5.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
7%
+9.0pp
26%
Draw
14%
+11.7pp
58%
Away Win
79%
-20.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.6pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua Ve Barbuda EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Dominik Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 84%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.97/1.02
-38% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -26%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
236 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
Crosses 27.6
Yellow Cards 4.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua Ve Barbuda
0-5
AWAY Dominik Cumhuriyeti
0.29 xG 3.72
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 14
0 Corners 10
253 Passes 399
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
4 Box Touches 40
7 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Antigua Ve Barbuda vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dominik Cumhuriyeti swept aside Antigua Ve Barbuda 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dominik Cumhuriyeti as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Antigua Ve Barbuda had 41% of the ball to Dominik Cumhuriyeti's 59%, shots finished 3-23, expected goals 0.29 to 3.72.

What was the final score of Antigua Ve Barbuda vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti?

Antigua Ve Barbuda 0-5 Dominik Cumhuriyeti in the CONCACAF Champions League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua Ve Barbuda vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dominik Cumhuriyeti win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Antigua Ve Barbuda 16%, draw 26%, Dominik Cumhuriyeti 58%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dominik Cumhuriyeti), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dominik Cumhuriyeti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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