Oulu 1-2 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 29% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.02
1/2
8%
23.6
1/X
4%
13.25
X/1
8%
7.25
X/2
8%
4.7
X/X
18%
5.02
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
24%
2.73
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 49%
-16% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.12/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.76
-21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
13.7 Crosses 23.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.57 xG 1.69
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
389 Passes 426
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 34
22 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.07.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİK
06.04.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
03.02.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-2 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
25.10.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-2 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
27.06.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-4 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
17.05.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-4 HT 0-2 Oulu Oulu FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
1-2
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
0.75 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
279 Passes 339
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oulu vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki edged past Oulu 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; SJK Seinajoki found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Oulu had 46% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 54%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.75 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Oulu and 1.33 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of Oulu vs SJK Seinajoki?

Oulu 1-2 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oulu 32%, draw 28%, SJK Seinajoki 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✗ Under 2.5
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