KuPS Kuopio 1-0 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 8 Jul 2025

📅08/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.0pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.0pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
498 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Milsami
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2022 Milsami Milsami 1-4 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio AVKL
21.07.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-2 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
1-0
AWAY Milsami
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio nicked a narrow win over Milsami 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 61% of the ball to Milsami's 39%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.50 for Milsami.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Milsami?

KuPS Kuopio 1-0 Milsami in the Champions League on 08/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 61%, draw 19%, Milsami 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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