Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 8 Jul 2025

Olimpija Ljubljana
1-1 HT 0-0
Kairat
📅08/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Champions League – 2025/2026

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Kairat Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.71
Over 2.5
58%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
18.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.95 — our 28% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
55%
-13.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
45%
+13.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olimpija Ljubljana v Kairat — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Kairat — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
1-1
AWAY Kairat
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana and Kairat couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpija Ljubljana at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 65% of the ball to Kairat's 35%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Kairat?

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Kairat in the Champions League on 08/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 50%, draw 25%, Kairat 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
8 Jul 2025
18:00 KuPS Kuopio vs Milsami Analysis →
19:00 Noah vs Buducnost Podgorica Analysis →
19:00 Saburtalo vs Malmö FF Analysis →
19:30 FC Levadia vs Rigas Skola Analysis →
21:00 Drita vs Differdange 03 Analysis →
21:00 Vikingur Gota vs Lincoln Red Imps Analysis →