Bolivar 4-0 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 8 Jul 2025

📅08/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-13.9pp
17%
Draw
11%
+6.0pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 11%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.08/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.67
+17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +15%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 77%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
21.4 Crosses 12.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.71 xG 1.13
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
316 Passes 184
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
12.05.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
12.11.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 5-1 HT 2-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
15.05.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
02.10.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
23.04.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 3-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
4-0
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
3.00 xG 0.49
68% Ball Possession 32%
27 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
367 Passes 145
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar swept aside Independiente Petrolero 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Bolivar had 68% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 32%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 3.00 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bolivar and 0.67 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero?

Bolivar 4-0 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 08/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 66%, draw 17%, Independiente Petrolero 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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