Bolivar 3-0 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.22
Draw
25%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
77%
-17.1pp
25%
Draw
14%
+10.2pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
2.03/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.60
+27% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +5%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
385 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 171 · 71%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
21.1 Crosses 11.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
291 Passes 190
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
12.11.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 5-1 HT 2-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
15.05.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
02.10.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
23.04.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 3-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
20.02.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
3-0
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.99 xG 0.95
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
441 Passes 156
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 3
25 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar cruised past Independiente Petrolero 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Bolivar had 70% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 30%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.99 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bolivar and 0.83 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero?

Bolivar 3-0 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 60%, draw 25%, Independiente Petrolero 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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26 Sep 2024
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