Nacional Potosi 1-1 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
2.11/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.23
+53% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
26.4 Crosses 14.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY The Strongest
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.13 xG 1.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 228
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 2-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
07.12.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
24.06.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 6-3 HT 4-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
17.09.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
12.05.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-1 HT 1-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
06.03.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
1-1
AWAY The Strongest
0.95 xG 0.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
304 Passes 312
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi and The Strongest couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 49% of the ball to The Strongest's 51%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 0.95 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The Strongest led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.50 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest?

Nacional Potosi 1-1 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 38%, draw 30%, The Strongest 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional Potosi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Under 2.5
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