Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 8 Aug 2024

Estudiantes De Merida
2-1 HT 0-0
Academia Puerto Cabello
📅08/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes De Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes De Merida v Academia Puerto Cabello — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -19%
1.20/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.90
-12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.5 Crosses 21.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Estudiantes De Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.98 xG 1.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
256 Passes 278
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
30.09.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
12.02.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
24.07.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
30.04.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
13.12.2020 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2-1
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
2.04 xG 1.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
286 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida edged past Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes De Merida found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 46% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 54%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 2.04 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 2.00 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 37%, draw 30%, Academia Puerto Cabello 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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