Portuguesa FC 0-1 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 8 Aug 2024

📅08/08/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +5%
1.47/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
-11% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
23.4 Crosses 17.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
218 Passes 289
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
05.11.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
30.10.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
03.09.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
03.03.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
28.08.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
0-1
AWAY Caracas FC
0.25 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
306 Passes 256
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC nicked a narrow win over Portuguesa FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Caracas FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 54% of the ball to Caracas FC's 46%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.25 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Portuguesa FC and 1.00 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Caracas FC?

Portuguesa FC 0-1 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 40%, draw 31%, Caracas FC 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Portuguesa FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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