Fylkir 1-2 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.6pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 45%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.85/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/2.11
-49% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.05.2025 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 4-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
18.02.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 5-0 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
17.09.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
09.07.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 4-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
18.08.2014 Fylkir Fylkir 4-1 HT 2-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
22.05.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 5-2 HT 5-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri squeezed past Fylkir 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Thor Akureyri found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Fylkir and 2.00 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs Thor Akureyri?

Fylkir 1-2 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 39%, draw 24%, Thor Akureyri 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fylkir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fylkir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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