IR Reykjavik 3-3 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.7pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 20%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.26/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/2.32
-9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
351 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IR Reykjavik
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Fjölnir
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.05.2025 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-3 HT 0-3 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
22.08.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-2 HT 1-1 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
20.06.2024 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 3-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
30.04.2019 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 1-3 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZK
POST-MATCH IR Reykjavik vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik and Fjölnir couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. IR Reykjavik carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IR Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for IR Reykjavik and 1.25 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs Fjölnir?

IR Reykjavik 3-3 Fjölnir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a IR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 57%, draw 18%, Fjölnir 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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