Ruch Chorzow 0-2 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
2.20/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.74
+24% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruch Chorzow
0W-4D-0L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2025 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-1 HT 1-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
02.08.2024 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
01.12.2021 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-1 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL2
30.07.2021 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruch Chorzow
0-2
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Siedlce got the better of Ruch Chorzow 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ruch Chorzow at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ruch Chorzow had 61% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 39%, shots finished 22-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ruch Chorzow and 1.00 for Pogon Siedlce.

What was the final score of Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Siedlce?

Ruch Chorzow 0-2 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ruch Chorzow 48%, draw 23%, Pogon Siedlce 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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