Hartlepool United 2-0 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.26
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.04
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.08
X/2
11%
6.76
X/X
10%
4.81
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
15%
4.73
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +23%
1.14/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.11
-27% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
236 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 150 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Barrow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
322 Passes 208
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-1 HT 1-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
19.11.2022 Barrow Barrow 3-1 HT 3-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
08.02.2022 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-1 HT 3-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
14.08.2021 Barrow Barrow 3-2 HT 1-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
28.12.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-2 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İBSL
03.09.2019 Barrow Barrow 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
2-0
AWAY Barrow
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United beat Barrow 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Hartlepool United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.67 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Barrow?

Hartlepool United 2-0 Barrow in the England - National League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 40%, draw 26%, Barrow 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
8 Aug 2026
17:00 Altrincham vs Southend United Analysis →
17:00 AFC Fylde vs Wealdstone Analysis →
17:00 Boreham Wood vs Tamworth Analysis →
17:00 Boston Utd vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
17:00 Carlisle United vs Worthing Analysis →
17:00 Eastleigh vs Gateshead Analysis →