Swansea City 0-1 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 8 Aug 2026

Swansea City
0-1 HT 0-1
Birmingham
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - League Cup – 2026/2027

Swansea City vs Birmingham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.26
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
12%
6.25
X/2
8%
5.32
X/X
17%
4.76
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
20%
3.33
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swansea City v Birmingham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 43%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
2.60/0.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.07
+125% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
– Crosses 16.4
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Swansea City vs Birmingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Birmingham
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.38 xG 1.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
407 Passes 258
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.01.2026 Swansea City Swansea City 1-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
20.09.2025 Birmingham Birmingham 1-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
13.01.2024 Birmingham Birmingham 2-2 HT 1-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
05.08.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 1-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
04.02.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 3-4 HT 2-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
08.11.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 2-2 HT 1-2 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL

Swansea City 0-1 Birmingham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
0-1
AWAY Birmingham
1.43 xG 0.82
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
347 Passes 191
15 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham squeezed past Swansea City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Birmingham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.43 to 0.82 — on chances, Swansea City could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Swansea City and 1.83 for Birmingham.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Birmingham?

Swansea City 0-1 Birmingham in the England - League Cup on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 36%, draw 28%, Birmingham 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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