Birmingham vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birmingham v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Birmingham
İNCL
3-4
HT 2-1
Birmingham
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-2
Swansea City
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Birmingham
İNCL
2-1
HT 0-0
Swansea City
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Swansea City
İNCL
Birmingham 2-2 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Birmingham and Swansea City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Birmingham had 47% of the ball to Swansea City's 53%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.57 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Birmingham and 1.17 for Swansea City.
What was the final score of Birmingham vs Swansea City?
Birmingham 2-2 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Swansea City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 37%, draw 24%, Swansea City 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Swansea City) went the other way.