West Bromwich 4-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.39
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.31
X/2
7%
8.29
X/X
13%
5.15
2/1
9%
22.6
2/2
12%
5.98
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.60/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
-4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
24.1 Crosses 14.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.73 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
295 Passes 254
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 2-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
15.02.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
14.08.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
14.02.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
21.08.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-2 HT 0-2 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
11.07.2020 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
4-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
3.12 xG 0.92
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
284 Passes 427
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich ran out comfortable winners over Blackburn Rovers 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had West Bromwich as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, West Bromwich had 42% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 58%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 3.12 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for West Bromwich and 1.17 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Blackburn Rovers?

West Bromwich 4-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 47%, draw 27%, Blackburn Rovers 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Bromwich), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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