Coventry 3-1 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.49
1/2
9%
25.0
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
8%
6.46
X/2
16%
4.84
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
17%
3.0
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +26%
1.24/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.16
+10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +28%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
14.9 Crosses 9.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Leicester City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
262 Passes 571
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
06.08.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 2-1 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
03.03.2012 Leicester City Leicester City 2-0 HT 1-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
06.08.2011 Coventry Coventry 0-1 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
26.02.2011 Leicester City Leicester City 1-1 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
11.09.2010 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
21.03.2010 Leicester City Leicester City 2-2 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
3-1
AWAY Leicester City
1.38 xG 1.15
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
537 Passes 321
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry got the better of Leicester City 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Coventry had 61% of the ball to Leicester City's 39%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.38 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Coventry and 1.50 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Leicester City?

Coventry 3-1 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Coventry 31%, draw 27%, Leicester City 42%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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