Rotherham United 0-1 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.66
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
11%
7.38
X/2
15%
4.34
X/X
18%
4.45
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.69
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.97/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.81
+21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
212 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 70%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.9 Crosses 24.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stoke City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.78 xG 1.54
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
186 Passes 333
63% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.08.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 6-1 HT 4-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNLK
05.08.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 4-1 HT 3-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
26.12.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-2 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
18.10.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
19.01.2021 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-3 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
31.10.2020 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
0-1
AWAY Stoke City
0.21 xG 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
245 Passes 422
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City nicked a narrow win over Rotherham United 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 40% — and on the day Stoke City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Rotherham United had 40% of the ball to Stoke City's 60%, shots finished 3-4, expected goals 0.21 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rotherham United and 2.67 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Stoke City?

Rotherham United 0-1 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 29%, draw 32%, Stoke City 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stoke City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
13 Jan 2024
15:30 Coventry vs Leicester City Analysis →
18:00 Southampton vs Sheffield Wednesday Analysis →
18:00 West Bromwich vs Blackburn Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Huddersfield Town vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →
18:00 Birmingham vs Swansea City Analysis →
18:00 Preston North End vs Bristol City Analysis →