Swansea City vs Birmingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swansea City v Birmingham — Team-Based Signals
Swansea City vs Birmingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Birmingham
İNCL
3-4
HT 2-1
Birmingham
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-2
Swansea City
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Birmingham
İNCL
Swansea City 1-1 Birmingham — Actual Match Statistics
Swansea City and Birmingham shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Swansea City had 50% of the ball to Birmingham's 50%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.63 to 1.09.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Swansea City and 1.67 for Birmingham.
What was the final score of Swansea City vs Birmingham?
Swansea City 1-1 Birmingham in the England - Championship on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Birmingham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 38%, draw 28%, Birmingham 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Swansea City), BTTS No went the other way.