Coventry 2-1 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
9.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.06
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
16%
4.3
X/2
11%
10.45
X/X
10%
5.98
2/1 EV+ ✓
9%
21.15
2/2
8%
7.93
2/X
5%
16.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.15 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.65/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.13
+14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -38%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
417 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
24.3 Crosses 12.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Leicester City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
371 Passes 462
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Leicester City Leicester City 0-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
13.01.2024 Coventry Coventry 3-1 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
06.08.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 2-1 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
03.03.2012 Leicester City Leicester City 2-0 HT 1-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
06.08.2011 Coventry Coventry 0-1 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
26.02.2011 Leicester City Leicester City 1-1 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
2-1
AWAY Leicester City
2.45 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
333 Passes 327
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
42 Box Touches 35
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry edged past Leicester City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Coventry had 51% of the ball to Leicester City's 49%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.45 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Coventry and 1.17 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Leicester City?

Coventry 2-1 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Coventry 56%, draw 21%, Leicester City 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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