Ingolstadt 2-2 Würzburger Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
15%
4.58
X/2
9%
9.47
X/X
10%
5.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.6
2/2
11%
6.74
2/X
7%
14.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.6 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
1.83/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.42
+9% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.9 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Würzburger Kickers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.88 xG 1.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2020 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 3-1 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
02.08.2019 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-0 HT 0-0 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
2-2
AWAY Würzburger Kickers
6 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
176 Passes 92
8 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Würzburger Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt and Würzburger Kickers shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 6-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.50 for Würzburger Kickers.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Würzburger Kickers?

Ingolstadt 2-2 Würzburger Kickers in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Würzburger Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 50%, draw 25%, Würzburger Kickers 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
8 Aug 2026
15:00 Havelse vs Stuttgart II Analysis →
15:00 Viktoria Köln vs Jahn Regensburg Analysis →
15:00 Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preussen Münster Analysis →
15:00 MSV Duisburg vs Meppen Analysis →
17:30 Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Köln Analysis →