Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-0 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.66
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
9%
5.85
X/2
10%
5.97
X/X
17%
4.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
2/2
20%
3.78
2/X
4%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sonnenhof Grossaspach EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.39/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.70
-23% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
15.2 Crosses 18.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
3.43 xG 1.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
249 Passes 262
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 7
18.05.2019 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-2 HT 0-1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach AL3
14.12.2018 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln AL3
16.03.2018 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-3 HT 1-2 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach AL3
30.09.2017 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-3 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln AL3
18.03.2017 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-0 HT 0-0 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach AL3
24.09.2016 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-3 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1-0
AWAY Fortuna Köln
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sonnenhof Grossaspach edged past Fortuna Köln 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sonnenhof Grossaspach found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Köln led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sonnenhof Grossaspach and 1.67 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Köln?

Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-0 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sonnenhof Grossaspach 35%, draw 28%, Fortuna Köln 36%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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